We don’t normally break out individual server prices- preferring instead to look for and study trends identified by producing an average across servers. Examining an average allows us to normalize single-server anomalies. This is important as a server’s economy is a fragile thing and can be manipulated significantly by a single person (even, sometimes, unintentionally). Our averages correct for this imperfection by producing a composite index and, ideally, a trend. However, given the recent conversations on the reliability of averages on both this site and others, we decided, this time, to give the data a second look by breaking out the individual server reports. What we found was most interesting…
Recently, we tested the prices of the four most popular Northrend flasks. To be perfectly honest, after a brief two-week study we found the initial results to be fairly unremarkable. Outside of the normal slow deflationary movement and slight weekday vs. weekend cycle that we’ve observed and reported on previously (and this time to an even lesser degree) it would seem that there was really not much to report.
Here’s the data for a one of the flasks, the Flask of Stoneblood:
2 Week High: 29.345 on Saturday, May 25, 2009
2 Week Low: 24.1625 on Monday, June 1, 2009
Fairly unremarkable right? However, upon closer inspection we find a few interesting observations. By taking away the four-server average function and looking at the flask’s performance on individual servers we start to see some fascinating patterns in price ranges . Take a look at the data yourself. Our observations follow.
- Not all servers followed the weekend = higher prices cycle. One server completely bucked this trend by showing lower prices on the weekends and higher ones on weekdays.
- As we observed with another recent analysis, prices were slightly higher on most servers (3 out of 4 this time) on the Alliance side than those of their opposing faction, the Horde. Of note, these were 4 different servers from the last set we saw the same phenomenon. Does it cost more to play Alliance? Does faction have an effect on prices?
- The higher the price point, the wider the amount of variance in the prices. This makes sense, however, when we look at the variance in terms of percentages instead of hard amounts where the data reveals itself to be consistent.
- Price points were consistent on servers on both faction sides. If a server had higher prices on the Alliance side, prices were also higher on the Horde side of that same server. This was observed in every single test and has been observed before. There is, seemingly, some correlation between prices on both sides of the fence for each server which is probably evidence of ample cross-faction sales.
- There was certainly ample evidence, across both factions of all four servers that a persistent up and down pricing cycle exists. This should provide some trading opportunities for the astute trader.
We do our best to not speculate or draw opinionated conclusions of our tested data. We prefer to leave that part of the process to you, our readers. It should also be said that we ran similar tests on the other three flasks and are continuing our analysis internally, amongst our team members. We intend to report additional data on flasks in the coming weeks provided there is ample interest from the WoWenomics community.
A note on our testing methods:
As always, we use our unique formula for Going Rate as our measured price point as this allows for us to assess only realistic prices. Four servers were tested in this round. This means that we actually ran tests on 8 unique auction houses as both factions are tested and then compiled into a single, reported server average. Tests were run for 15 days, Monday, 18 May 09 to Monday, 1 June 09. The servers we used were selected for population and reported auction house activity factional equivalence. Tests were run at the same time of day, once daily in this case, for 15 consecutive days. Additional information on our testing methods can be found on our other Market Data Reports.